Tennessee Titans Playoff Chances: Tracking the Titans Playoff Picture

Fact Checked by Blake Weishaar
Derrick Henry Running The Ball

Key Takeaways:

  • The Titans have been eliminated from playoff contention. Their 19-16 overtime loss to the Texans in Nashville in Week 15 washed them out of the playoff picture, dropping them to 5-9.
  • Beyond their 5-11 overall record, they are 0-4 in the AFC South with a home finale against Jacksonville remaining.
  • The Jaguars have the best odds to win the division at 52.8% while the Texans are second at 26.3 and the Colts are just behind them at 25.6.

Terms apply for all bonuses. Must be 21+ to participate.  
Bonus Bets Expire in 7 Days. One New Customer Offer Only. Must be 21+ to participate & present in TN. Gambling Problem? Call or Text the Tennessee REDLINE: 800-889-9789. Visit BetMGM.com for Terms & Conditions. US promotional offers not available in NY, NV, or Puerto Rico.

The Titans playoff chances are off the board with sportsbooks as they have been eliminated from playoff contention.

Tennessee traded two-time All-Pro safety Kevin Byard during their Week 7 bye. The Titans were without third, fifth, and sixth-round picks from trades. The deal got them back a fifth (the higher of Minnesota or Tampa Bay's, both owned by the Eagles) and a sixth (their own, which they gave the Eagles in a trade for Ugo Amadi) as well as safety Terrell Edmunds.

The Titans' defense had given up 47 pass plays of 20 yards or more through 14 games. They didn't give up any in their big win over Cincinnati but it's been an issue in just about every other game.

A year ago, the Titans scored just 17.5 points a game, the third-worst in the league. Now they are at 18.4 points a game in 2023. They are one of the AFC's least-threatening offensive teams.

Make sure to bookmark this page for the latest playoff and Super Bowl odds that are available from Tennessee sportsbooks

Terms apply for all bonuses. Must be 21+ to participate.  
Bonus Bets Expire in 7 Days. One New Customer Offer Only. Must be 21+ to participate & present in TN. Gambling Problem? Call or Text the Tennessee REDLINE: 800-889-9789. Visit BetMGM.com for Terms & Conditions. US promotional offers not available in NY, NV, or Puerto Rico.

What are the Titans Playoff Chances?

Sportsbooks including ESPN BET Tennessee have taken down the Titans playoff chances as they are now out of the playoff picture. At 5-11 they've been eliminated from contention. 

⭐ Titans Playoff ChancesOff The Board
πŸ‘‘ Titans Win Super BowlOff The Board
πŸ† Titans Win AFCOff The Board
πŸ”₯ Titans Win AFC SouthOff The Board
🏈 ESPN Football Power Index (FPI)-4.2 FPI (25th)
βœ… Last Verified by Expert{ "now" | date('F j, Y') }}

We've converted the odds into the easiest format to understand. Implied probability is the overall likelihood of an outcome. Note that you can increase your bankroll while betting on those odds with TN sports betting promos

As long as there are odds attached to the team, you can convert those odds to an implied probability. From there, you can clearly see how oddsmakers view each team’s chances of making the playoffs and winning the Super Bowl. In the Titans’ case, their previous +100000 odds of winning the Super Bowl converted to 0.7% implied probability, the fifth lowest in the NFL.

Tennessee Titans Week-by-Week Playoff Chances

Every week, this section will examine the Titans' playoff chances. Their changes will be due to their results, AFC South results and the results of the rest of the AFC.

  • Week 1: 32.3%
  • Week 2: 30.8%
  • Week 3: 40%
  • Week 4: 37%
  • Week 5: 44.4%
  • Week 6: 30.8%
  • Week 7: 30.8%
  • Week 8: 19%
  • Week 9: 16.7%
  • Week 10: 7.7%
  • Week 11: 6.7%
  • Week 12: 2.4%
  • Week 13: 5.3%
  • Week 14: Not listed
  • Week 15: Not listed
  • Week 16: Not listed
  • Week 17: Not listed

Before the season started, the Titans' playoff chance was 32.3%. After a 27-3 loss at New Orleans in Week One, the Titans dipped to 30.8%. But an overtime win over the Chargers in Nashville boosted them to 40%. A 27-3 loss in Cleveland brought them down to 37%. 

They rebounded with their best effort of the season and a 27-3 win over the Bengals and now have a 44.4% chance. And the up-and-down trend continued with a 23-16 dud loss in Indianapolis that dropped their playoff odds down to 30.8%. With QB Ryan Tannehill injured and his status unknown, the Titans didn't have playoff odds listed for Week 7. They were back on the board in Week 8 at 19% and after a Week 9 win with Will Levis making an excellent showing at QB, their odds dropped to 16.7%. 

The bad loss in Pittsburgh dumped them to 7.7%. Another loss, in Tampa Bay, dropped them further, to 6.7% The Titans continued their road woes with a 34-14 loss in Jacksonville and their playoff chances tumbled to 2.4%. They finally got a win when they returned to Nashville and played the NFL's worst team, Carolina, and their playoff odds rose to 5.3%. After an overtime home loss to the Colts, the Tennessee Titans playoff chances went off the board. 

They remain off the board after a thrilling upset of the Dolphins in Miami, though they did re-emerge with tiny 0.6% odds to win the AFC South. After the Week 15 overtime loss to the Texans, the Titans were eliminated from the playoffs.

They were the No. 1 seed in the AFC in 2021 and missed the 2022 playoffs by one game.

And make sure to check out different sportsbooks like BetMGM Tennessee, which can offer better odds on these types of bets. 

Terms apply for all bonuses. Must be 21+ to participate.  
Offered by Seminole Hard Rock Digital, LLC. Must be 21+ and physically present in TN to play. Terms and conditions apply. In TN, CALL 1-800-GAMBLER

Tennessee Titans Schedule and Betting Lines

πŸ“† Week 1 at New Orleans SaintsLoss, 16-15
πŸ“† Week 2 vs. Los Angeles ChargersWin, 27-24
πŸ“† Week 3 at Cleveland BrownsLoss, 27-3
πŸ“† Week 4 vs Cincinnati BengalsWin, 27-3
πŸ“† Week 5 at Indianapolis ColtsLoss, 23-16
πŸ“† Week 6 vs Baltimore RavensLoss, 24-16
πŸ“† Week 7 BYE WEEK
πŸ“† Week 8 vs Atlanta FalconsWin, 28-23
πŸ“† Week 9 at Pittsburgh SteelersLoss, 20-17
πŸ“† Week 10 at Tampa Bay BuccaneersLoss, 20-6
πŸ“† Week 11 at Jacksonville JaguarsLoss, 34-14
πŸ“† Week 12 vs Carolina PanthersWin, 17-10
πŸ“† Week 13 vs Indianapolis ColtsLoss, 31-28
πŸ“† Week 14 at Miami DolphinsWin, 28-27
πŸ“† Week 15 vs Houston TexansLoss, 19-16
πŸ“† Week 16 vs Seattle SeahawksLoss, 20-17
πŸ“† Week 17 at Houston TexansLoss, 26-3
πŸ“† Week 18 vs Jacksonville JaguarsTitans +3.5, ML +160
βœ… Data Last Verified by ExpertFebruary 29, 2024

When the season started, the Titans looked to have three schedule advantages over their AFC South rival Jaguars in 2023: Tennessee played a second-place schedule which gave it games against Seattle instead of San Francisco and Miami instead of Buffalo. They already beat the Chargers and Dolphins while the Jaguars lost to Kansas City and San Francisco and beat Buffalo. In the big picture, the first-place versus second-place scheduling proved meaningless.

The Titans seemed fortunate to play in a weak division where the Colts and Texans were breaking in rookie starting quarterbacks, Anthony Richardson and C.J. Stroud, respectively. The Titans knocked Richardson (shoulder) to IR when they lost their first game against the division rival, an ugly 23-16 Week Five game in Indianapolis. Stroud has been much better than expected and is being talked about as an MVP candidate. But the Titans lost to Case Keenum in Week 15 in their first game against Houston, with Strioud out with a concussion. In the AFC South, the Titans are 0-4. With three games left, the Titans are eliminated from the playoffs and will finish in last place in the division.

The AFC South drew the weak NFC South, a division with no star QBs and no clear power. Though the Titans won their two home games against the division, versus Atlanta and Carolina, they lost on the road in New Orleans and Tampa Bay. Going .500 against perhaps the weakest division in the AFC didn't help the Titans' playoff picture.

Terms apply for all bonuses. Must be 21+ to participate.  
Must be 21+ to participate. T&Cs apply.

Tennessee Titans Playoff Chances: Key Updates February 2024

The Titans came into the season expecting to win the AFC South or at least contend for the division but the Titans playoff picture has gone dark. They began the season with a roster that was 45% new but came into the season with their core still in place: Ryan Tannehill, Derrick Henry, Jeffery Simmons, Denico Autry, Harold Landry and Kevin Byard. Byard was traded to Philadelphia after six games.

  • πŸ“† December 24: Lost 20-17 to the Seattle Seahawks.
  • πŸ“† December 17: Lost 19-16 in OT to the Texans and were eliminated from playoff contention.
  • πŸ“† December 11: Upset the Dolphins in Miami on Monday Night Football, becoming the first team this century to win in regulation after trailing by 14 points with 3 minutes left.
  • πŸ“† December 4: Fired special teams coordinator Craig Aukerman.
  • πŸ“† November 27: The Titans host the Carolina Panthers and win 17-10.
  • πŸ“† November 21: Traveling to Jacksonville, the Titans lose 34-14.
  • πŸ“† November 14: The Titans lose to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 20-6.
  • πŸ“† November 7: Named Will Levis the starting quarterback.
  • πŸ“† October 29: With quarterback Ryan Tannehill (ankle) sidelined, rookie Will Levis got the start and became just the third quarterback in NFL history to throw four touchdowns in his first start.
  • πŸ“† October 24: Mike Vrabel says if injured quarterback Ryan Tannehill (ankle) cannot play Week 8 against the Falcons, both Malik Willis and Will Levis will play.
  • πŸ“† October 23: The Titans trade Kevin Byard to the Eagles for fifth and sixth-round picks and safety Terrell Edmunds.
  • πŸ“† October 15: The Titans lose in London to the Baltimore Ravens, 24-16 as Ryan Tannehill suffers a second-half ankle injury he is unable to play through, throwing the Titans into a state of uncertainty.
  • πŸ“† October 8: Despite eight catches for 140 yards from DeAndre Hopkins, the Titans lose to the Colts in Indianapolis 23-16 and fall to 2-3.
  • πŸ“† October 2: Designated WR Kyle Philips (on IR with a knee injury) to return to practice.
  • πŸ“† October 1: Titans beat the Bengals 27-3 at home in their most complete effort of the season to lift their record to 2-2.
  • πŸ“† September 24: Titans lose in Cleveland 27-3. Their 94 yards are the fewest for the franchise since a Houston Oilers loss to Dallas on Nov. 24, 1974.
  • πŸ“† September 17:  The Titans beat the Chargers 27-24 in overtime in Nashville.
  • πŸ“† September 10: Ryan Tannehill played the worst game of his career in the Titans' 16-15 loss at New Orleans. He threw three interceptions and missed open receivers on two plays that would have been touchdowns. DeAndre Hopkins was targeted a game-high 13 times in the season-opener at New Orleans but only had seven catches for 65 yards and was the intended receiver on two interceptions.
  • πŸ“† August 19: Kyle Philips suffered an MCL knee injury on a punt return in the preseason game against the Vikings and could miss about six weeks. He is the primary slot receiver.
  • πŸ“† August 16: Receiver Treylon Burks, the starter opposite DeAndre Hopkins and a player the Titans are counting on for big second-year growth, suffered a sprained LCL in his left knee during joint practice against the Vikings. Estimates are he will be out for four to six weeks
  • πŸ“† August 12: Inside linebacker Monty Rice only played nine snaps in the preseason opener and then did not play in the second game when Mike Vrabel said Rice was unavailable. Rice seems to have lost a starting spot to Jack Gibbens. Could the former third-rounder's roster spot be in jeopardy?
  • πŸ“† July 24: Wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins signs with the Titans
  • πŸ“† April 27-29: Tennessee added six players in the 2023 NFL Draft, including first round pick Peter Skoronski (offensive line), Kentucky quarterback Will Levis in the second round, and running back Tyjae Spears in the third.
  • πŸ“† April 7: The Titans extended star defensive tackle Jeffery Simmons. The deal is a four-year, $94 million extension
  • πŸ“† March 21: The Titans signed free agent defensive back Sean Murphy-Bunting to a one-year, $5 million contract
  • πŸ“† March 20: The Titans signed offensive tackle Andre Dillard to a three-year, $29 million contract and defensive end Arden Key to a three-year, $24 million deal
  • πŸ“† March 15: Tennessee cut linebacker Bud Dupree, a key signing they made a few years ago
  • πŸ“† March 10: Released C Ben Jones
  • πŸ“† February 22: The Titans cut starting left tackle Taylor Lewan, K Randy Bullock, LB Zach Cunningham, and starting receiver Robert Woods
  • πŸ“† February 7: Elevated Tim Kelly to offensive coordinator
  • πŸ“† January 17: The Titans hired Ran Carthon to take over as the team's general manager
  • πŸ“† January 9: Fired offensive coordinator Todd Downing
  • πŸ“† December 6, 2022: The Titans fired GM Jon Robinson after seven seasons with the team

Please bookmark and check this page for regular Tennessee Titans updates.

Key Contributors Toward Titans Playoff Chances

The foundation of the offense remains Derrick Henry, but he's averaging 16.4 carries and 63.1 yards through 14 games and the team's had only two games where he really led the way.

DeAndre Hopkins has done well converting third downs and broke out in Week Five with an eight-catch, 140-yard game. In Will Levis' Week 8 debut, Hopkins caught his first three touchdowns of the season.

The pass rush was supposed to key the whole operation, but Harold Landry was not back to himself through six games after a 2022 ACL repair and the group has not been as effective as expected. Jeffery Simmons (knee) has missed the last two games.

The defense gives up too many big pass plays -- 47 of 20 yards or more through 14 games.

Special teams have been mediocre at best for a long time, and their worst moments have been killer. In the Week 13 loss to the Colts the Tennessee Titans had consecutive punts blocked with Ryan Stonehouse suffering a season-ending injury on the second one. Then Ryan Tannehill, who's Stonehouse's backup as the holder, failed to put down a good ball for Nick Folk on an extra point that would have given the Tennessee Titans a 1-point lead late in regulation. The Titans lost in OT and special teams coordinator Craig Aukerman was fired the following day. In Miami the next week, Eric Garror muffed a punt that turned into a Dolphins' TD but Denico Autry also blocked a field goal. Folk missed another extra point against the Texans.

Where Can I Bet on the Tennessee Titans to Make the Playoffs?

It's easy to bet on the Titans to make the playoffs at several Tennessee betting apps such as BetMGM, Caesars, FanDuel, and ZenSports. DraftKings is not currently giving the Titans odds on making the playoffs because of Ryan Tannehill's injury and unknown status, but they have a 7.7% chance of winning the AFC South.

Terms apply for all bonuses. Must be 21+ to participate.  
Must be 21+ to participate. T&Cs apply.

Looking Ahead: Titans Playoff Picture

The Titans have their first four games in Nashville, but then lost their most recent two. They didn't win a road game until Week 13 in Miami. They also lost their "home" game in London. Those failures outside of Nashville hurt their chances at being in the playoff picture.

The Titans have lost 17 out of their last 22 games.

Do the Titans Have a Chance to Make the Playoffs?

No. They've been eliminated. They are 14th in the 16-team AFC where the Jets and Patriots are also officially out of the playoffs. They have also clinched last place in the AFC South.

Are the Titans Out of Playoffs?

Yes. They are one of the teams out of the playoffs in the AFC with two weeks remaining in the regular season. The playoff picture no longer includes the Tennessee Titans.

Where Do the Tennessee Titans Rank in the AFC South?

The Titans are dead last in the AFC South, having been eliminated from the playoff picture.

The Tennessee Titans' are 0-4 in the AFC South. With two games remaining in the AFC South, one in Houston and one in Nashville against the Jaguars, they still have no chance to climb out of last place in the division.

Where Do the Tennessee Titans Rank in the AFC Standings?

The Tennessee Titans are currently 14th of 16 teams in the AFC, ahead of only New England and the Jets. The Tennessee Titans are assured of finishing last place in the AFC South and the are out of the playoff picture.

AFC Championship Odds
Best Odds
Teams Best Odds
Chiefs
$1,000 First Bet on Caesars
Must be 21+ to participate. T&Cs apply.
+350Caesars
$1,000 First Bet on Caesars
Must be 21+ to participate. T&Cs apply.
+350Caesars
$1,000 First Bet on Caesars
Must be 21+ to participate. T&Cs apply.
+350Caesars
Bet $5, Get $150 Instantly in Bonus Bets
Bonus Bets Expire in 7 Days. One New Customer Offer Only. Must be 21+ to participate & present in TN. Gambling Problem? Call or Text the Tennessee REDLINE: 800-889-9789. Visit BetMGM.com for Terms & Conditions. US promotional offers not available in NY, NV, or Puerto Rico.
+350BetMGM
Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets if Your Bet Wins
Must be 21+ to participate. T&Cs apply.
+350FanDuel
Ravens
$1,000 First Bet on Caesars
Must be 21+ to participate. T&Cs apply.
+480Caesars
$1,000 First Bet on Caesars
Must be 21+ to participate. T&Cs apply.
+480Caesars
$1,000 First Bet on Caesars
Must be 21+ to participate. T&Cs apply.
+480Caesars
Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets if Your Bet Wins
Must be 21+ to participate. T&Cs apply.
+460FanDuel
Bet $5, Get $150 Instantly in Bonus Bets
Bonus Bets Expire in 7 Days. One New Customer Offer Only. Must be 21+ to participate & present in TN. Gambling Problem? Call or Text the Tennessee REDLINE: 800-889-9789. Visit BetMGM.com for Terms & Conditions. US promotional offers not available in NY, NV, or Puerto Rico.
+450BetMGM
Bills
Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets if Your Bet Wins
Must be 21+ to participate. T&Cs apply.
+650FanDuel
Bet $5, Get $150 Instantly in Bonus Bets
Bonus Bets Expire in 7 Days. One New Customer Offer Only. Must be 21+ to participate & present in TN. Gambling Problem? Call or Text the Tennessee REDLINE: 800-889-9789. Visit BetMGM.com for Terms & Conditions. US promotional offers not available in NY, NV, or Puerto Rico.
+600BetMGM
$1,000 First Bet on Caesars
Must be 21+ to participate. T&Cs apply.
+525Caesars
$1,000 First Bet on Caesars
Must be 21+ to participate. T&Cs apply.
+525Caesars
$1,000 First Bet on Caesars
Must be 21+ to participate. T&Cs apply.
+525Caesars
Bengals
$1,000 First Bet on Caesars
Must be 21+ to participate. T&Cs apply.
+700Caesars
Bet $5, Get $150 Instantly in Bonus Bets
Bonus Bets Expire in 7 Days. One New Customer Offer Only. Must be 21+ to participate & present in TN. Gambling Problem? Call or Text the Tennessee REDLINE: 800-889-9789. Visit BetMGM.com for Terms & Conditions. US promotional offers not available in NY, NV, or Puerto Rico.
+700BetMGM
Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets if Your Bet Wins
Must be 21+ to participate. T&Cs apply.
+700FanDuel
$1,000 First Bet on Caesars
Must be 21+ to participate. T&Cs apply.
+700Caesars
$1,000 First Bet on Caesars
Must be 21+ to participate. T&Cs apply.
+700Caesars
Dolphins
$1,000 First Bet on Caesars
Must be 21+ to participate. T&Cs apply.
+1100Caesars
Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets if Your Bet Wins
Must be 21+ to participate. T&Cs apply.
+1100FanDuel
$1,000 First Bet on Caesars
Must be 21+ to participate. T&Cs apply.
+1100Caesars
$1,000 First Bet on Caesars
Must be 21+ to participate. T&Cs apply.
+1100Caesars
Bet $5, Get $150 Instantly in Bonus Bets
Bonus Bets Expire in 7 Days. One New Customer Offer Only. Must be 21+ to participate & present in TN. Gambling Problem? Call or Text the Tennessee REDLINE: 800-889-9789. Visit BetMGM.com for Terms & Conditions. US promotional offers not available in NY, NV, or Puerto Rico.
+1000BetMGM
Bet $5, Get $150 Instantly in Bonus Bets
Visit Site
Bonus Bets Expire in 7 Days. One New Customer Offer Only. Must be 21+ to participate & present in TN. Gambling Problem? Call or Text the Tennessee REDLINE: 800-889-9789. Visit BetMGM.com for Terms & Conditions. US promotional offers not available in NY, NV, or Puerto Rico.
Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets if Your Bet Wins
Visit Site
Must be 21+ to participate. T&Cs apply.
$1,000 First Bet on Caesars
Visit Site
Must be 21+ to participate. T&Cs apply.

Where Do the Titans Rank in the AFC Wild Card Race?

The Tennessee Titans are 14th in the AFC right now, fourth out of four in the AFC South and completely out of the playoff picture.

The Tenessee Titans finish the season with a home game against the Seahawks, a quick turn rematch with the Texans in Houston and the season finale against the Jaguars in Nashville. They could have a bearing on the playoff picture for each of those three teams. Jacksonville and Houston both have a chance to win the AFC South.

Can the Titans Get the No. 1 Playoff Seed?

No. They are eliminated from the playoff picture.

Who to Root for if You're a Tennessee Titans Fan

No results can help the Titans make the playoffs, as they are eliminated. So now it's just a matter of rooting against Tennessee's rivals and who you want or don't want to win the AFC South. The Titans still have games against the Texans and the Jaguars. A winless run through the AFC South was far less likely than the Titans chance to win the AFC South at the start of the season, but the Titans chances of that are realistic now.

Tennessee Titans Postseason Outlook and Predictions

The Titans have clinched are last place in the AFC South at 5-9 and they are 0-4 in the division heading into Week 15 against the Seahawks at home.

Derrick Henry's success in division games has keyed the Titans' solid play against the Jaguars, Texans and Colts. But he only had 13 carries for 43 yards in the Week Five loss in Indianapolis and 10 carries for 38 yards in Jacksonville. He was much better in the rematch against Indianapolis, with 21 carries for 102 yards and two TDs. His 16 carries for 9 yards in the loss to the Texans marked his worst game since he became the Titans' full-time starter in 2018. It was a sad piece of the end of the Titans presence in the playoff picture.

The defense used to be very good against the run, but it is not anymore. They are giving up 112.9 rushing yards a game. Even when they've been good against the run it has not correlated to winning as it has in the past.

Terms apply for all bonuses. Must be 21+ to participate.  
Must be 21+ to participate. T&Cs apply.

Tennessee Titans Playoffs FAQs

Author

BetTennessee NFL betting expert Paul Kuharsky is an award-winning newspaper and online writer. Paul has covered the NFL since 1995 and the Oilers-Titans since 1996 for The Oakland Tribune, The Tennessean, ESPN.com, and PaulKuharsky.com. He’s been a regular presence on Nashville radio for 15 years. He’s got two degrees from Columbia University and lives outside Nashville with his wife and son, a 13-year-old baseball player.