Tennessee Titans Playoff Chances Week 13: Tracking the Titans Playoff Picture

Fact Checked by Blake Weishaar
Ryan Tannehill passes the ball

Key Takeaways:

  • The Titans have a 5.3% chance of making the playoffs, according to FanDuel. They are up from 2.4% at ESPN BET 17-10 loss over Carolina, the NFL's worst team, that raised their record to 4-7.
  • The Titans have a 0.5% chance to win the division, which remains their lowest number of the season.
  • The Titans had been second to the Jaguars in odds to win the AFC South for a good while but have now been last for some time. They are now holding firm in last at 0.5%. The Jaguars have the best odds to win the division at 90.9%, the Texans are second at 7.1% and the Colts are third at 4.5.
  • The Titans Super Bowl XLVIII odds are +80000, giving them a 0.1% chance to win, their lowest number of the year.

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Three weeks after a four-TD debut, Will Levis was able to function a bit more than the two previous weeks when he was under constant pressure. He had been hit 39 times in four starts but was only hit four times with one sack by the Panthers. He said after the game he was not satisfied with his downfield accuracy.

Tennessee traded two-time All-Pro safety Kevin Byard during their Week 7 bye. The Titans were without third, fifth, and sixth-round picks from trades. The deal got them back a fifth (the higher of Minnesota or Tampa Bay's, both owned by the Eagles) and a sixth (their own, which they gave the Eagles in a trade for Ugo Amadi) as well as safety Terrell Edmunds.

The Titans' defense had given up 37 pass plays of 20 yards or more through 11 games. They didn't give up any in their big win over Cincinnati and gave up pass plays of 25, 24, and 22 yards to the Panthers.

A year ago, the Titans scored just 17.5 points a game, the third-worst in the league. Now they are at 16.8 points a game in 2023.

Make sure to bookmark this page for the latest playoff and Super Bowl odds that are available from Tennessee sportsbooks

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What are the Titans Playoff Chances?

The Titans have a 5.3% chance of making the playoffs ESPN BET Tennessee. After three consecutive road games, they finally returned to Nissan Stadium in Week 12 and beat the worst team in the NFL, Carolina which fell to 1-10 and fired coach Frank Reich the following day. It's was the Titans final game against the NFC South. They beat Atlanta and Carolina at home and lost to New Orleans and Tampa Bay on the road.

⭐ Titans Playoff Chances5.3%
πŸ‘‘ Titans Win Super Bowl0.1%
πŸ† Titans Win AFC0.3%
πŸ”₯ Titans Win AFC South0.5%
🏈 ESPN Football Power Index (FPI)-4.9 FPI (26th)
βœ… Last Verified by Expert{ "now" | date('F j, Y') }}

We've converted the odds into the easiest format to understand. Implied probability is the overall likelihood of an outcome. The Jaguars currently have a 98.8% chance to make the playoffs. The Texans are at 51% while the Colts are at 45.9% and the Titans are at 5.3%. Note that you can increase your bankroll while betting on those odds with TN sports betting promos

At 7.7%, the Titans have the same odds as the Jets and Chicago.

As long as there are odds attached to the team, you can convert those odds to an implied probability. From there, you can clearly see how oddsmakers view each team’s chances of making the playoffs and winning the Super Bowl. In the Titans’ case, their +80000 odds of winning the Super Bowl convert to 0.7% implied probability, the fifth lowest in the NFL.

Tennessee Titans Week-by-Week Playoff Chances

Every week, this section will examine the Titans' playoff chances. Their changes will be due to how their results and the results of the rest of the AFC.

  • Week 1: 32.3%
  • Week 2: 30.8%
  • Week 3: 40%
  • Week 4: 37%
  • Week 5: 44.4%
  • Week 6: 30.8%
  • Week 7: 30.8%
  • Week 8: 19%
  • Week 9: 16.7%
  • Week 10: 7.7%
  • Week 11: 6.7%
  • Week 12: 2.4%
  • Week 13: 5.3%

Before the season started, the Titans' playoff chance was 32.3%. After a 27-3 loss at New Orleans in Week One, the Titans dipped to 30.8%. But an overtime win over the Chargers in Nashville boosted them to 40%. A 27-3 loss in Cleveland brought them down to 37%. 

They rebounded with their best effort of the season and a 27-3 win over the Bengals and now have a 44.4% chance. And the up-and-down trend continued with a 23-16 dud loss in Indianapolis that dropped their playoff odds down to 30.8%. With QB Ryan Tannehill injured and his status unknown, the Titans didn't have playoff odds listed for Week 7. They were back on the board in Week 8 at 19% and after a Week 9 win with Will Levis making an excellent showing at QB, their odds dropped to 16.7%. 

The bad loss in Pittsburgh dumped them to 7.7%. Another loss, in Tampa Bay, dropped them further, to 6.7% The Titans continued their road woes with a 34-14 loss in Jacksonville and their playoff chances tumbled to 2.4%. They finally got a win when they returned to Nashville and played the NFL's worst team, Carolina, and their playoff odds rose to 5.3%.

They were the No. 1 seed in the AFC in 2021 and missed the 2022 playoffs by one game.

And make sure to check out different sportsbooks like BetMGM Tennessee, which can offer better odds on these types of bets. 

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Tennessee Titans Schedule and Betting Lines

πŸ“† Week 1 at New Orleans SaintsLoss, 16-15
πŸ“† Week 2 vs. Los Angeles ChargersWin, 27-24
πŸ“† Week 3 at Cleveland BrownsLoss, 27-3
πŸ“† Week 4 vs Cincinnati BengalsWin, 27-3
πŸ“† Week 5 at Indianapolis ColtsLoss, 23-16
πŸ“† Week 6 vs Baltimore RavensLoss, 24-16
πŸ“† Week 7 BYE WEEK
πŸ“† Week 8 vs Atlanta FalconsWin, 28-23
πŸ“† Week 9 at Pittsburgh SteelersLoss, 20-17
πŸ“† Week 10 at Tampa Bay BuccaneersLoss, 20-6
πŸ“† Week 11 at Jacksonville JaguarsLoss, 34-14
πŸ“† Week 12 vs Carolina PanthersWin, 17-10
πŸ“† Week 13 vs Indianapolis ColtsTitans -2.5, ML -142
πŸ“† Week 14 at Miami DolphinsTitans +7, ML +240
πŸ“† Week 15 vs Houston TexansTitans -3, ML -148
πŸ“† Week 16 vs Seattle SeahawksTitans +2, ML +105
πŸ“† Week 17 at Houston TexansTitans -1, ML -115
πŸ“† Week 18 vs Jacksonville JaguarsTitans +2.5, ML +110
βœ… Data Last Verified by ExpertDecember 1, 2023

When the season started, the Titans looked to have three schedule advantages over their AFC South rival Jaguars in 2023: Tennessee played a second-place schedule which gave it games against Seattle instead of San Francisco and Miami instead of Buffalo. They already beat the LA Chargers while the Jaguars lost to Kansas City and San Francisco and beat Buffalo.

The Titans seemed fortunate to play in a weak division where the Colts and Texans each are breaking in rookie starting quarterbacks, Anthony Richardson and C.J. Stroud, respectively. The Titans knocked Richardson (shoulder) to IR when they lost their first game against the division rival, an ugly 23-16 Week Five game in Indianapolis. Stroud has been much better than expected and is being talked about as an MVP candidate. The Titans still play Houston twice.

The AFC South drew the weak NFC South, a division with no star QBs and no clear power, though the Titans won their two home games against the division, versus Atlanta and Carolina, but lost on the road in New Orleans and Tampa Bay.

Tennessee Titans Playoff Chances: Key Updates December 2023

The Titans came into the season expecting to contend for the division. They began the season with a roster that was 45% new but came into the season with their core still in place: Ryan Tannehill, Derrick Henry, Jeffery Simmons, Denico Autry, Harold Landry and Kevin Byard. Byard was traded to Philadelphia after six games.

  • πŸ“† November 27: The Titans host the Carolina Panthers and win 17-10.
  • πŸ“† November 21: Traveling to Jacksonville, the Titans lose 34-14.
  • πŸ“† November 14: The Titans lose to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 20-6.
  • πŸ“† November 7: Named Will Levis the starting quarterback.
  • πŸ“† October 29: With quarterback Ryan Tannehill (ankle) sidelined, rookie Will Levis got the start and became just the third quarterback in NFL history to throw four touchdowns in his first start.
  • πŸ“† October 24: Mike Vrabel says if injured quarterback Ryan Tannehill (ankle) cannot play Week 8 against the Falcons, both Malik Willis and Will Levis will play.
  • πŸ“† October 23: The Titans trade Kevin Byard to the Eagles for fifth and sixth-round picks and safety Terrell Edmunds.
  • πŸ“† October 15: The Titans lose in London to the Baltimore Ravens, 24-16 as Ryan Tannehill suffers a second-half ankle injury he is unable to play through, throwing the Titans into a state of uncertainty.
  • πŸ“† October 8: Despite eight catches for 140 yards from DeAndre Hopkins, the Titans lose to the Colts in Indianapolis 23-16 and fall to 2-3.
  • πŸ“† October 2: Designated WR Kyle Philips (on IR with a knee injury) to return to practice.
  • πŸ“† October 1: Titans beat the Bengals 27-3 at home in their most complete effort of the season to lift their record to 2-2.
  • πŸ“† September 24: Titans lose in Cleveland 27-3. Their 94 yards are the fewest for the franchise since a Houston Oilers loss to Dallas on Nov. 24, 1974.
  • πŸ“† September 17:  The Titans beat the Chargers 27-24 in overtime in Nashville.
  • πŸ“† September 10: Ryan Tannehill played the worst game of his career in the Titans' 16-15 loss at New Orleans. He threw three interceptions and missed open receivers on two plays that would have been touchdowns. DeAndre Hopkins was targeted a game-high 13 times in the season-opener at New Orleans but only had seven catches for 65 yards and was the intended receiver on two interceptions.
  • πŸ“† August 19: Kyle Philips suffered an MCL knee injury on a punt return in the preseason game against the Vikings and could miss about six weeks. He is the primary slot receiver.
  • πŸ“† August 16: Receiver Treylon Burks, the starter opposite DeAndre Hopkins and a player the Titans are counting on for big second-year growth, suffered a sprained LCL in his left knee during joint practice against the Vikings. Estimates are he will be out for four to six weeks
  • πŸ“† August 12: Inside linebacker Monty Rice only played nine snaps in the preseason opener and then did not play in the second game when Mike Vrabel said Rice was unavailable. Rice seems to have lost a starting spot to Jack Gibbens. Could the former third-rounder's roster spot be in jeopardy?
  • πŸ“† July 24: Wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins signs with the Titans
  • πŸ“† April 27-29: Tennessee added six players in the 2023 NFL Draft, including first round pick Peter Skoronski (offensive line), Kentucky quarterback Will Levis in the second round, and running back Tyjae Spears in the third.
  • πŸ“† April 7: The Titans extended star defensive tackle Jeffery Simmons. The deal is a four-year, $94 million extension
  • πŸ“† March 21: The Titans signed free agent defensive back Sean Murphy-Bunting to a one-year, $5 million contract
  • πŸ“† March 20: The Titans signed offensive tackle Andre Dillard to a three-year, $29 million contract and defensive end Arden Key to a three-year, $24 million deal
  • πŸ“† March 15: Tennessee cut linebacker Bud Dupree, a key signing they made a few years ago
  • πŸ“† March 10: Released C Ben Jones
  • πŸ“† February 22: The Titans cut starting left tackle Taylor Lewan, K Randy Bullock, LB Zach Cunningham, and starting receiver Robert Woods
  • πŸ“† February 7: Elevated Tim Kelly to offensive coordinator
  • πŸ“† January 17: The Titans hired Ran Carthon to take over as the team's general manager
  • πŸ“† January 9: Fired offensive coordinator Todd Downing
  • πŸ“† December 6, 2022: The Titans fired GM Jon Robinson after seven seasons with the team

Please bookmark and check this page for regular Tennessee Titans updates.

Key Contributors Toward Titans Playoff Chances

The foundation of the offense remains Derrick Henry, but he's averaging 16 carries and 67.2 yards through 11 games and the team's had only two games where he really led the way.

DeAndre Hopkins has done well converting third downs and broke out in Week Five with an eight-catch, 140-yard game. In Will Levis' Week 8 debut, Hopkins caught his first three touchdowns of the season.

The pass rush was supposed to key the whole operation, but Harold Landry was not back to himself through six games after a 2022 ACL repair and the group has not been as effective as expected. Landry broke through for two of the team's six sacks against Atlanta. But in four of the team's last six games pass pressure has been a non-factor.

The defense gives up too many big pass plays -- 37 of 20 yards or more through 11 games.

Where Can I Bet on the Tennessee Titans to Make the Playoffs?

It's easy to bet on the Titans to make the playoffs at several Tennessee betting apps such as BetMGM, Caesars, FanDuel, and ZenSports. DraftKings is not currently giving the Titans odds on making the playoffs because of Ryan Tannehill's injury and unknown status, but they have a 7.7% chance of winning the AFC South.

Looking Ahead: Titans Playoff Picture

The Titans have won all of their games at Nissan Stadium this season, but they've not won on the road or their "home" game in London.

The Titans have lost 14 out of their last 18 games.

Do the Titans Have a Chance to Make the Playoffs?

Twelve weeks into the season, many teams still have a chance. At 4-7, the Titans are a monstrous disappointment. It's not at all a likely scenario that they find a route into the playoffs given that they are in 14th in the AFC.

Are the Titans Out of Playoffs?

The odds would put the Titans out of the playoffs. They have four games left in the AFC South. But with so many issues it's hard to imagine the major turnaround it would take for them to get into the playoffs. A seven-game winning streak, with the first win in hand, would give them a 94% chance according to the New York Times. At this point, it's hard to expect a second win in a row.

Where Do the Tennessee Titans Rank in the AFC South?

The Jaguars top the AFC South with an 90.9% chance to win the division. The Texans are second at 7.1% with the Colts at 4.5% and Titans at 0.5%.

The Titans' games against the Texans look less favorable as C.J. Stroud is having a tremendous rookie season.

Where Do the Tennessee Titans Rank in the AFC Standings?

The Titans are currently 14th of 16 teams in the AFC, ahead of only New England and the Jets. Tennessee has a 0.3% chance of winning the conference. Plenty of teams who were expected to be ahead of them are, but so are a bunch who would not have been forecasted to have been in a better position.

Where Do the Titans Rank in the AFC Wild Card Race?

The Titans are 14th in the AFC right now, seven spots out of the AFC Wild Card field. Six teams are ahead of the Titans before they get to the Colts, who hold the No. 7 spot and the final Wild Card.

The Titans do hold head-to-head tiebreakers with the Bengals and Chargers. They have two games with the Texans and one each with the Jaguars and Colts remaining.

Can the Titans Get the No. 1 Playoff Seed?

No. Jumping 13 teams to get to the No. 1 seed just is not happening. They are 4-7 while the current top seed, the Ravens, are 9-3 and have a head-to-head win over Tennessee.

Who to Root for if You're a Tennessee Titans Fan

Right now Titans fans should root for losses by the Jaguars, Colts, and Texans and for AFC teams to lose every game against the NFC.

Tennessee Titans Postseason Outlook and Predictions

The Titans are now in last place in the AFC South at 4-7 and they are 0-2 in the division heading into Week 13 against the Colts at home.

Derrick Henry's success in division games has keyed the Titans' solid play against the Jaguars, Texans and Colts. But he only had 13 carries for 43 yards in the Week Five loss in Indianapolis and 10 carries for 38 yards in Jacksonville.

The defense used to be very good against the run, but it is not anymore. They are giving up 110.8 rushing yards a game and rank 15th in rush defense. Even when they've been good against the run it has not correlated to winning as it has in the past.

Tennessee Titans Playoffs FAQs


BetTennessee NFL betting expert Paul Kuharsky is an award-winning newspaper and online writer. Paul has covered the NFL since 1995 and the Oilers-Titans since 1996 for The Oakland Tribune, The Tennessean, ESPN.com, and PaulKuharsky.com. He’s been a regular presence on Nashville radio for 15 years. He’s got two degrees from Columbia University and lives outside Nashville with his wife and son, a 13-year-old baseball player.

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