Tennessee 2024 Win Total: Trends of 9.5 Win Total Teams

Tennessee 2024 Win Total: Trends of 9.5 Win Total Teams
Fact Checked by Nate Hamilton

One of college football’s traditional powers appears to have reawakened after a two-decade slumber, as the Tennessee Volunteers enter the 2024 season off 11-and-9-win campaigns under head coach Josh Heupel.  

Heupel, who arrived in Knoxville from UCF in 2021, is looking to get Tennessee to new heights this fall as the Vols’ look to reach the CFP for the first time after coming tantalizingly close two falls ago.  

This season, UT plays UT-Chattanooga, NC State and Kent State at home to open the year, before taking on Oklahoma and Arkansas on the road, with home games against Florida (Oct. 12), Alabama (Oct. 19), Kentucky (Nov. 2), Mississippi State (Nov. 9) and UTEP (Nov. 23) on the docket.  

Throw in two more road games against Georgia (Nov. 16) and Vanderbilt (Nov. 30) and you have a full scope of why oddsmakers are riding high on UT’s chances in 2024.  

Utilizing FanDuel Tennessee Sportsbook’s current win total for the 2024 college football season, Tennessee was found to be set at 9.5 wins (+130 over). Utilizing SportsReference.com, we found all teams with a 9.5-win total line in the last 3 seasons and how they performed.  

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Season Performance Of 9.5 Win Total College Football Teams

The stats below could prove useful in the Tennessee sports betting world this coming season. Take a look at how teams perform when having a 9.5 win total from the sportsbooks. 

Situation 

Number of Teams  

Percentage* 

Under 9.5 Wins 

9 of 20 

45.0% 

Over 9.5 Wins 

11 of 20 

55.0% 

College Football Playoff Appearance 

2 of 20 

10.0% 

End of Season AP Poll Top 25   

12 of 20 

60.0% 

*Rounded to nearest whole number 

Can Vols Ride High In 2024?

After a bit of a down season in 2023 and looking at a fall schedule with nine home games and only four games away from Knoxville, it’s easy to see why many are expecting big things from Heupel and the Vols’ this year.  

Since 2000, Tennessee has cleared 10 wins five times, doing so in 2001, 2003, 2004, 2007 and in 2022, which speaks to how difficult it is to rack up wins in today’s SEC landscape.  

That reality is reflected by the fact that only two of the 20 teams that started the year with a win total of 9.5 (Michigan in 2022 and Texas in 2023) went on to reach the CFP, with 11 of the 20 winning 10 or more games and 12 of those squads finishing the year in the final AP Top-25 poll.  

This fall, Heupel and the Volunteers will look to join both of those lists, as UT shoots for its first appearance in what is now a 12-team postseason event after coming oh, so close two years ago along the banks of the Tennessee River.

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USA Today photo by Brianna Paciorka/News Sentinel.

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Recent 9.5 Win Total Teams:

Clemson 2023 - Under (9-4) - Top 25 

Liberty 2023 - Over (13-1) - Top 25 

LSU 2023 - Over (10-3) - Top 25 

Oklahoma 2023 - Over (10-3) - Top 25 

Oklahoma State 2023 - Over (10-4) - Top 25 

Oregon 2023 - Over (12-2) - Top 25 

Penn State 2023 - Over (10-3) - Top 25 

Tennessee 2023 - Under (9-4) - Top 25 

Texas 2023 - Over (12-2) - Top 25 - CFP App 

Tulane 2023 - Over (11-3)  

USC 2023 - Under (8-5) 

Michigan 2022 - Over (13-1) - Top 25 - CFP  

Oklahoma 2022 - Under (6-7)  

USC 2022 - Over (11-3) - Top 25 

Wisconsin 2021 - Under (9-4)  

UCF 2021 - Under (9-4) 

A&M 2021 - Under (8-4)  

Miami 2021 - Under (7-5)  

ULL 2021 - Over (13-1) - Top 25 

Iowa St 2021 - Under (7-6) 

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Author

Christopher Boan writes for BetTennessee.com and has been covering sports and sports betting for more than seven years, with experience at ArizonaSports.com, the Tucson Weekly and the Green Valley News.